War and Peace and War
War and Peace and War
Peter Turchin
Balaji Srinivasan
How quantitative methods can identify recurrent cycles. - Balaji Srinivasan
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War and Peace and War

War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of Empires

Peter Turchin
By
Peter Turchin
4.2
787
ratings on Goodreads

In "War and Peace and War," Peter Turchin masterfully bridges the chasm between evolutionary biology and the sweeping tides of history to present a groundbreaking thesis on the rise and fall of empires. With a keen analytical eye, Turchin posits that the crucible for empire-building is not merely the ambition of rulers or the fortunes of war, but the deeper, underlying capacity of societies for collective action. Through a tapestry of historical narratives, from the Roman Empire to the United States, Turchin illustrates how periods of intense cooperation, driven by the need to confront common adversaries, forge mighty empires. Yet, this unity is a double-edged sword; as empires expand, the chasm between the rich and the poor widens, sewing the seeds of internal conflict and, ultimately, the dissolution of these vast entities. Turchin's argument is both a revelation and a warning, presented with compelling clarity and supported by a wealth of historical data. "War and Peace and War" transcends traditional historiography, offering insights into the nature of human cooperation, conflict, and the cyclical forces that propel societies to greatness and guide them through decline. This book is not merely a chronicle of past empires; it is a lens through which to view the dynamics of current global powers, making it an essential read for anyone intrigued by the forces that have shaped human civilization across the millennia.

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Released
2005
25 Aug
Length
416
Pages

1

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How quantitative methods can identify recurrent cycles. - Balaji Srinivasan
The collapse of order brings in its wake the four horsemen of the apocalypse - famine, war, pestilence, and death. Population declines, and wages increase, while rents decrease. As incomes of commoners recover, the fortunes of the upper classes hit the bottom. Economic distress of the elites and lack of effective government feed the continuing internecine wars. But civil wars thin the ranks of the elites. Some die in factional fighting, others succumb to feuds with neighbors, and many just give up on trying to maintain their noble status and quietly slip into the ranks of the commoners. Intra-elite competition subsides, allowing order to be restored. Stability and internal peace bring prosperity, and another secular cycle begins. 'So peace brings warre and warre brings peace.
— Peter Turchin, War and Peace and War

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